Frederick
J. Sheehan is the author of Panderer to Power: The Untold Story of How Alan
Greenspan Enriched Wall Street and Left a Legacy of Recession (McGraw-Hill,
2009) and "The Coming Collapse of the
Municipal Bond Market" (Aucontrarian.com, 2009)
In "The Stock Market" (December
22, 2013), there is a mathematical problem with the following: "Zero Hedge
recently reported the days on which the New York Fed has engaged in POMOs
(Permanent Open Market Operations) of $5 billion or greater, between April 2009
and April 2013, the S&P 500 rose 540%. On days when POMOs were less than $5
billion, the index rose 15%. On days without POMOs, returns were -2%." If true,
and it is not, the market never goes down. Nevertheless, even a non-calculating
observer knows of the strong relationship between POMO operations and the stock
market over the past few years. Most important is the artificiality of pushing
up the stock market and its inevitable deflation.
In what could have been a turning point of mass
recognition, the S&P 500 fell 9 points (-0.5%) in the minute after the Fed
announced it was tapering (December 18, 2013). An unseemly burst of buying
pushed the Index up 35 points (1.8%) in the next six minutes. It added another
15 points by the close: up 2.8% from that moment of peril. The S&P 500
closed at a new, all-time high of 1810. The mafia is more subtle than our
central planners. That is the point: whatever They do, is authorized. This
plunge-and-protect operation received practically no attention. If the
authorities are so frightened when the market is near its all-time high, how
will they panic when the market falls 10%?
As Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke gets set to
depart, his personal self-worth was set forth in a speech to commemorate the
100th anniversary of the Federal Reserve System. Bernanke buckled his
panic attacks in 2007 and 2008 to Paul Volcker's money tightening belt in the
early 1980s. Believing himself a combination of The Desert Fox and Joan of Arc,
Simple Ben plastered his audience with this soggy discharge: "[O]ne value that
strikes me as having been at least as important as any other has been the
Federal Reserve's willingness, during its finest hours [Mon Dieu! - FJS], to
stand up to political pressure and make tough but necessary decisions." Not
content with this general (and ridiculous) claim, he followed with a vile and
ignorant self-portrait: "I keep in my office one of the 2-by-4s mailed to the
Fed during Paul [Volcker's] tenure, which communicates some distinctly
unfavorable views of high interest rates and their effects. More recently, of
course, the Federal Reserve took controversial but necessary measures to arrest
what was arguably the worst financial crisis in American history."
It may be forgotten, but Simple Ben's initial rate cut
that has led to our ruin was in response to Jim Cramer's CNBC attack on August
3, 2007. It should be noted that, on that date, the S&P 500 was down 7% from
its all-time high. A sample of Cramer's bile: "[T]he Fed is asleep...My people
[??? - FJS] have been in the game for 25 years...these firms are going out of
business...open the darn [discount] window." David Stockman writes in The
Great Deformation: "[W]ithin days of the rant that shook the Eccles
Building, the Fed slashed its discount rate, abruptly ending its tepid campaign
to normalize the money markets."
We know the rest. The bravest act of Bernanke's life was
telling some patrons at South of the Border the restaurant had run out of apple
pie.
Ben Bernanke's personal myth is his own affair. Our
affair is the cocoon in which Bernanke and the yes-men draped around him have
secluded themselves. Bernanke was not overstating what he believes in this
self-characterization. Nor, would economists under the age of 120 disagree. (A
friend who raised the possibility that Ben Bernanke may not be on top of his
game was upbraided after a meeting: "He graduated from MIT, you
know.")
It so happens that Joseph Epstein, graduate of the University of Chicago,
teacher for three decades at Northwestern University, and past editor of the
American Scholar, wrote Bernanke's biography in the December 21, 2013,
edition of the Wall Street Journal. He does not mention the Fed chairman.
He may not have the seventh-grade, spelling-bee champion in mind. Epstein's was
an essay on the rise of the meritocracy, with the
title: "The Late Great American Wasp:"
Here they are, our leaders:
Meritocracy in
America starts (and often ends) in what are thought to be the best colleges and
universities. On the meritocratic climb, one's mettle is first tested by getting
into these institutions-no easy task in the contemporary overcrowded scramble
for admission. Then, of course, one must do well within them. In England, it was
once said that Waterloo and the empire were built on the playing fields of Eton.
The current American imperium appears to have been built at the offices of the
Educational Testing Service, which administers the SATs.
Whether
Republican or Democrat, left or right, the leading figures in U.S. public life
today were good at school. Bill Clinton had Georgetown, Oxford (as a Rhodes
scholar) and Yale Law School on his résumé; Barack Obama had
Columbia and Harvard Law School. Their wives, respectively, had Wellesley and
Yale Law School and Princeton and Harvard Law School. [Senator] Cruz went to
Princeton and thence to Harvard Law School. Players all-high rollers in the
great American game of meritocracy. Their merit resides, presumably, in having
been superior students.
But is the merit
in our meritocracy genuine? Of the two strongest American presidents since
1950-Harry S. Truman and Ronald Reagan-the first didn't go to college at all,
and the second went to Eureka College, a school affiliated with the Christian
Church (Disciples of Christ) in Eureka, Ill. The notion of Harry Truman as a
Princeton man or Ronald Reagan as a Yalie somehow diminishes them
both.
Apart from
mathematics,* which demands a high IQ, and science,* which requires a distinct
aptitude, the only thing that normal undergraduate schooling prepares a person
for is... more schooling. Having been a good student, in other words, means
nothing more than that one was good at school: One had the discipline to do as
one was told, learned the skill of quick response to oral and written questions,
figured out what professors wanted and gave it to them.
Having been a
good student, no matter how good the reputation of the school-and most of the
good schools, we are coming to learn, are good chiefly in reputation-is no
indication of one's quality or promise as a leader. A good student might even be
more than a bit of a follower, a conformist, standing ready to give satisfaction
to the powers that be so that one can proceed to the next good school, taking
another step up the ladder of meritocracy.
What our new
meritocrats have failed to evince-and what the older WASP generation prided
itself on-is character and the ability to put the well-being of the nation
before their own. Character embodied in honorable action is at the heart of the
novels and stories of Louis Auchincloss, America's last unembarrassedly WASP
writer. Doing the right thing, especially in the face of temptations to do
otherwise, was the WASP test par excellence. Most of our meritocrats, by
contrast, seem to be in business for themselves.
Trust, honor,
character: The elements that have departed U.S. public life with the departure
from prominence of WASP culture have not been taken up by the meritocrats. Many
meritocrats who enter politics, when retired by the electorate from public life,
proceed to careers in lobbying or other special-interest advocacy. University
presidents no longer speak to the great issues in education but instead devote
themselves to fundraising and public relations, and look to move on to the next,
more prestigious university presidency.
A financier I
know who grew up under the WASP standard not long ago told me that he thought
that the subprime real estate collapse and the continuing hedge-fund scandals
have been brought on directly by men and women who are little more than "greedy
pigs" (his words) without a shred of character or concern for their clients or
country. Naturally, he added, they all have master's degrees from the putatively
best business schools in the nation.
Thus far in
their history, meritocrats, those earnest good students, appear to be about
little more than getting on, getting ahead and (above all) getting their own.
The WASP leadership, for all that may be said in criticism of it, was better
than that.
The WASPs' day
is done. Such leadership as it provided isn't likely to be revived. Recalling it
at its best is a reminder that the meritocracy that has followed it marks
something less than clear progress. Rather the reverse."
*Lord
[Nigel] Lawson, who served as Financial Secretary to the Treasury and as
Chancellor of the Exchequer under Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher, at Davos in
2012: "There is a complete failure of
modern economics to have any value at all. Economics has been
supplanted by mathematicians who can't hack it as mathematicians and become
economists. It has no connection to practical policy decisions whatever. It
helps the investment banks to construct models which proved disastrous and were
a contributory factor to the banking meltdown."
This is the least reported proclamation in the history of Davos love-ins.